Fantasy Golf PGA Expert Picks | Zurich Classic Of New Orleans 2016 | DraftKings Tiers
Fantasy Golf PGA Expert Picks | Zurich Classic Of New Orleans 2016 | DraftKings Tiers
Salaries are out somewhat early this week. It seems Draftkings finally has their shit together. Speaking of keeping their shit together, I still don’t fall into that category. I’ve been wearing the same underwear for the last 5 days. So I’m pretty much not an adult, but in an adult body. It’s a pretty good cover I have going. Everyone is pretty fooled, except my cleaning lady. She knows what’s up, and she’s super grossed out by me too.
REAL CONVERSATION WITH MY CLEANING LADY
CL: I quit.
ME: What?! Why?!
CL: Your wall has cum stains on it. You’re fucking gross.
ME: Fair enough,
She didn’t realize that the wall ploughed me with drinks in hopes to get it pregnant, thus having me to pay child support for the rest of my life, amongst other things. It was the wall that was really gross here. Really fucking gross.
REAL CONVERSATION WITH MY CLEANING LADY OVER
Welcome to the Zurich Classic Of New Orleans 2016. The TPC Louisiana has been it’s home since 2005, with the exception of 2006 due to Hurricane Katrina. The course is a 7,425 yards, par 72, and it’s considered one of the easiest courses on tour. It’s a mixture of some very short par 4’s, long par 4’s, long par 3’s and long but reachable par 5’s.
In the last 11 played here, there have been 7 first time winners. Obviously this year, with few big stars, the chance of another first time winner seems very possible. When you look at player history here, you’ll notice that the closest things to a horse for the course are Justin Rose and Jason Dufner. Other players with solid records( That are playing this week) at the TPC, with at least four starts are: Boo Weekley, Steve Stricker, Cameron Tringale, Lucas Glover, KJ Choi and Jeff Overton. Not a star studded list at all.
If you go back through every year of this tournament since 2005, you’ll notice that hitting the fairways isn’t the biggest deal. Many have done very well here with being middle of the pack for the week, others have been quite poor for the week and have even won here before, like Seung Yul Noh. Another thing you’ll notice, players hit the greens here at a very high rate. The average is usually between the 70-72% rate for the week. If you’re hitting them at a higher rate for the week, it’s hard to make bogeys. You’ll notice with the above crew of golfers, most of them would fall into the category of guys that hit greens at a high level. Straight shooters.
You wouldn’t think of Jason Dufner or Cameron Tringale as Par 5 scorers due to their lack of length off the tee, but in most years, they rank in the top 60, if not higher in Par 5 scoring. You’ll notice this with many that show up on the leaderboards over the years, players that are short off the tee but still score on Par 5’s. The reason they’re able to is because they’re top notch from 200 plus yards out with their irons or hybrids. It’s very year by year, as some players have great years with irons/hybrids, then fade away, but in the years they played well here, with few exceptions like Greg Chalmers, you’ll notice them as being highly ranked in Par 5 scoring and GIR from 200+ yards. On in two for the Par 5’s, will equal easier scoring.
Yes, there will be tons of scoring this week and that means a ton of putting opportunities. If you get a guy with a hot putter at this event, he could roll if he’s also hitting greens a very high rate as well. To win here, you must be close to -5 a day or better. That means you must bring your putter to keep pace. It always comes down to a putting contest, but it’s also a reason why there haven’t been many that have dominated here. The week to week putting always fluctuates. This is why it makes sense that guys who consistently hit greens over the years, give themselves more opportunities to roll in putts and do well here.
Before we break into the tiers this week, let us just say, that after the first three guys on this list, it becomes quite a terrible field. Not that many bargains out there, so take a fair value deal when you can get one.
Jason Day – He’s quite the player, if you haven’t heard. His wife is hot, our favourite word. He was 4th last year, and we think that’s cool. He can win this thing, if he brings his tool. That means his flat stick, as the rest is bombastic. He just needed a rest, he should be at his best. SIDENOTE: I’m a master rapper. Drops mic.
Justin Rose – The defending champion, and he has the best history of anyone in this field. In his last four here, he has a win, 8th, 10th and 15th place finish. He hits greens at a very high rate and then it’s up to making his putts. He’s a horse for this course and should be on some of your squads.
Rickie Fowler – He doesn’t have the best record at this event, with only one Top 10, and missed cuts in his last two trips. His last event was the missed cut at The Masters and that was just a miserable start from hole one onward. We don’t take much stock in his missed cuts here though. His stats are great and he should be just fine this week. A great combo of putting and GIR from 200 out.
Charley Hoffman – He’s coming off a big win and he’s just playing quite well for awhile now. He’s made 7 of 9 cuts, with a 5th place finish in last time out here. Will he have a hangover from his win? It’s possible, but we think his game suits this place when he’s in form, which means he hits greens and can putt a little. It’s a Ryder Cup year and this is a great spot to take a jump inside the Top 10 in points.
Billy Horschel – He seems to be on the cusp of that elusive first win since the Fed Ex cup, but can’t make the putts here and there through out the week. Here’s the site of one of his PGA Tour wins, so he must be respected. He’s coming in playing Tip Top golf too. Will his game match his lovely pants this week? We think it’s a good shot.
Daniel Berger – With three Top 11’s in his last four starts, Berger is most certainly in form. He’s also on pace for a more consistent year as well…..that’s until his girlfriend comes back from school. He was 6th last year and we can definitely see him up there again. He’s a fantastic iron player, and his putting has been improved this year too. If it can stay at this level, he can win this tournament.
Chris Kirk – We toss his Masters effort and look at him as a very nice form play. We know his putter is getting it done recently, now he just needs to hit the greens. If that happens this week, then he can go really low. It’s a big IF, as he’s 1 of 2 cuts here with a 21st place finish. He’s above average so far this year from 200 plus yards out, so we’re fans.
Smylie Kaufman – This year’s super rookie and we like him a lot this week. He hits solid 200 plus yard iron shots and he’s a decent putter. Hopefully, he forgets his final round at the Masters, but he was right in it after day 3. A real shot to pick up his second win of the season and have some serious Ryder Cup talk thrown his way.
Marc Leishman – He’s been having a lack lustre year with only one Top 10 thus far. However, he’s the kinda guy that can throw a big one up at any time. His putting is actually pretty good this year, he just needs to hit greens this week, which he’s actually been doing from 200 plus. He was 28th last year at this venue, so we think there’s some potential here. SIDENOTE: We had potential once, but then we discovered LSD. Things have never been the same.
Charles Howell – The guys having a terrific year thus far and has had quite some success here in year’s past. Yes, he has a couple of missed cuts, but he does have that 2nd too. He’s a form play to us, with his strong iron play, as well as his putter being pretty decent this year. If that putter stays strong, old Chuck Howell becomes quite the strong play.
Cameron Tringale – With 5 of 6 cuts made at the TPC Louisiana, and two Top 10’s, Tringale is a horse for this course. Now do you trust him at this price? We didn’t think so. His form isn’t the best. Even when he does make the cut, he hasn’t really excelled lately.
Danny Lee – He hasn’t been in great form for awhile now, with The Masters being his only made cut, in a cut event, since early February. He is intriguing as he’s made his last three cuts here, and he’s now become an international star. However, his putting stats have fallen off the map and when you’re known for putting, well, that’s scary. Boo!
Jamie Lovemark – He’s never made a cut at this event in two tries, but we think you should ignore that this week. He’s much better at hitting greens from 200 plus, which bodes well, and he’s a very solid putter too. He disappointed many at the Heritage with a missed cut, but we think he has big boom potential, as he’s shown already with four Top 10’s this year.
Byeong Hun An – He hasn’t been the best at Majors, but here’s an event that should suit his game, with only three true stars in the field. A very nice spot for him to finally make some noise at a regular PGA Tour event. He’s hitting greens at a higher rate this year, and if he keeps it going, he should be on this leaderboard.
Patton Kizzire – He must be respected with 11 of 14 cuts made and 4 Top 10’s. He’s a tremendous putter, so he just needs to hit the greens this week. We think he’ll be able to score. At worst, we think he bogeys a bunch, but he’ll also be holing putts. So we think he’ll score points, which will help if all else falters.
Russell Henley – His season seems to be turning around after a very rocky start, but can we be sure? At this price? We’re not going to be the test dummies when he’s never played this course before. His putting stats are great, and his GIR is quite good. His SGTG is horrific. We just have no idea where he’s at right now and we’re staying away.
Gary Woodland – It feels like we haven’t seen Woodland in quite awhile, and it’s been a good month. He was making cuts before that, with no high finishes. So what should we expect? History says stay away, but he may just be a bargain in this poor field. We think he can hit this greens, which then leaves it up to his crappy putter. If he’s half decent, he’s an interesting cut maker with upside play. He can hit those Par 5’s in two. A guy that can score.
Ben Martin – For his price, you would have expected him to have some Top 10’s this year, but he has as many as me. His stats are pretty solid all around, he just hasn’t had everything working together on the same weeks, yet still has 9 of 12 cuts made. At this venue, he’s 1 of 2 with a 15th. I’d like him a lot more in the $6000 range, but this week is a shitty field. Not a value pick.
Steve Stricker – He’s been slowly progressing into form, and even though he missed his last tour cut, he had two Top 11’s in his previous two. His history at this event says he’s a guy you must consider for your squads this week. His putting stats are fantastic. At this event, he’ll be hitting greens at a higher rate than normal, so he’ll have some birdie chances.
Sean O’Hair – He has three Top 15’s over 6 starts, with only one missed cut at the TPC Louisiana. Even though he only has one Top 10 this year, his stats are actually quite pretty across the board. He can pop at any time and he can knock it from 200 plus too. We’re fans this week.
Jamie Donaldson – He’s ranked 56th in the world and has been playing quite nicely on American soil this year. A tremendous putter that needs to hit the greens this week. A weak field, which he doesn’t get that often. If he hits some greens, which is his biggest downfall, he can make some noise.
Jerry Kelly – If he didn’t have a win here, we would have written him off, but you must respect the win. Besides his 9th at the Sony, he’s been making cuts, but not doing much once through. We’re on the fence with him. The cut rate is attractive, but the overall spottiness of everything isn’t that appealing. Sounds like my underwear.
David Hearn – This one’s interesting as he’s never missed the cut at this event, with a high of 6th. This season he had to lose the anchor putter and his SGP stats have plummeted. So can you look at his record the same way? If you think he’s figured out the new putting style, take him. If not, stay far away.
Boo Weekley – He’s made 5 of his last 6 cuts at this event, with four Top 13’s. His year has been up and down so far, but he’s made three cuts in a row, which is a nice sign. We still view him as a boom or bust guy here though, due to his spotty play this year. An excellent ball striker that needs to hole his putts. Easier said than done, from a horrific putter of the golf ball.
Luke List – If you haven’t noticed, Luke List has been making cuts lately, 6 of his last 7, in fact. Five of those were Top 30’s and three were Top 20’s. He’s obviously putting better right now, compared to his SGP ranking of 132. He’s also a very good striker of the ball from 200 plus yards. He played this course a few years ago, before he was a full time PGA pro, and he finished 31st. A very nice sign. He’s under the radar.
Kyle Reifers – He’s having a decent season, with decent stats to go with it. A little light on the putting though. He’s shown the ability to make cuts and pop this year so we like his name. He can hit long irons into greens and we like that too. He’s made 2 of 3 cuts at this venue, with his miss being by one shot. Another interesting note, he was 45th and 24th in his other two starts, but he was 16th and 5th going into the final rounds respectively. He’s on pace for his best year on Tour, maybe h’s learned.
Lucas Glover – He’s a horse for the course, with three Top 10’s since 2005, and his last one being a 4th in 2013. He had a rough patch earlier this year but seems to have righted his ship. He’s an excellent ball striker and he’ll hit the greens here. It all comes down to his putter. It’s pretty awful. A risk/reward type player. We know he can have a big boom here.
Jhonattan Vegas – He will hit greens here, he just needs to make the putts. Tremendous with his irons from long distances and that turned into a 36th last year. His putting stats are now moving backwards after the hot start, but he has a volume players chance. We think his style suits this place….Gangham Style.
Jason Bohn – We need some cheaper guys and Bohn would have been perfect, if it was the fall season. Now, he just seems like an older guy with some issues. He’s a former winner, so we mention him, even though his other visits are noting to crow about.
Morgan Hoffman – We think he’ll be popular as it look like he’s been rounding into form and he’s made all three of his cuts at this event. He can hit long irons pretty decently and he can putt. If you think his form is moving the right way, play him.
Roberto Castro – Not a good record here at all, with 1 of 3 cuts made. However, he’s making cuts on tour this year and he’s a straight shooter, who can knock it from 200 plus. Like other here, if his putter is decent, he can make noise.
Retief Goosen – He’s a nice price for a guy that’s made 5 of 6 cuts at this events. No high finishes, but 4 Top 28’s. He’s also having a very solid cut making year on tour. He’s a crafty veteran. A very nice price for what you’re getting and by who is surrounded by at this level.
Alex Cejka – Awhile ago, the DFS golf world was paying top dollar for this guy and then he screwed them. Now he’s toiling quite low here in an awful field. Seems like an opportunity? He’s made 5 of his last 7 cuts here, one being a withdrawal, and he has an 8th too. The year he finished 21st, he was 2nd going into the final round. When he finished 18th, he was 12th going into the final round. An interesting play to us. He’s been around the block here. He’s a hit or miss guy on tour but he pops too. He’s a terrible putter but he can hit those long irons. In the midst of a decent year and better than most down here.
Michael Kim – He’s making cuts at a nice rate this year as he can just putt. He just can’t do much else. You’re in the bargain bin.
Tim Wilkinson – He’s hitting long irons well, and he’s been 3rd at this tourney before with 3 of 5 cuts made in his history. He’s been making cuts this year on tour, he’s putting well and doing most things quite well. He’s an interesting cheap play to us, especially if we stack two big stars.
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