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Daily Fantasy Golf Picks Strategy | PGA Valero Texas Open 2018 | Draftkings

Daily Fantasy Golf Picks Strategy | PGA Valero Texas Open 2018 | Draftkings

The wait for the 2018 Valero Texas Open is almost over. We’re actually excited for this week because it gives those pretty darn good ball strikers who can’t putt an opportunity to notch their first wins ala Kevin Chappell last year. Sometimes these poor putters need to catch a break and this is the place to do it in our opinion. Now for the shitty course preview cut and paste.

First things first, the course. The TPC San Antonio is a 7,435 yard, par 72, with narrow fairways, deep bunkers,  and some nasty native vegetation areas. Just ask Kevin Na about the nastiness of the native areas, as he took a 16 on a par four some years ago. That’s nasty. Real nasty. The course is long, but yet it’s not. The Par 3’s and Par 5’s are among the longest on Tour, but the Par 4’s are the 7th shortest on tour. Sounds too easy, huh? I forgot to mention the wind. The other main defence of this course is the wind, so make sure you check the weather report before hand.

. *Sidenote: This course has been used for the Valero since 2010, so disregard any finishes by players before that.

We went through shot histories and half their approach shots were from 125 yards and in, and the other half was from 175 and above. There were also a bunch of 200 plus yard shots as well. So we went through Top 10’s since 2010, and we noticed that players who can hit both of these types of iron shots played well here. Also, in different years, greens were hit at different rates, all depending on the wind. Some years it was terrible, some were the average. So we believe that’s how some of those scrambler/putters got their names up on the leaderboards too. This is a place, where some years, scrambling becomes more important than others, depending on weather. We were going to add the category of GIR from other than fairway, but we think the whole of scrambling will take this into account. 

Players that have played well here since 2010 include: Brendan Steele, Adam Scott, Daniel Summerhays, Jim Furyk, Freddie Jacobson, Charley Hoffman, Pat Perez, Cameron Tringale, Jordan Spieth, Aaron Baddeley, Bob Estes, Jason Kokrak, Jimmy Walker and Martin Laird.

Before I wrap this up, let’s just conclude the stat categories we’re looking for, in order: GIR from 125 and in, GIR from 175 plus, and the overall scrambling category, as we think people will be off the fairway and into some nasty things, then also missing the green possibly at a higher clip than normal. As always, we love form, history, putting, and this week, Texans!

Now for the breakdown.

THE CORE

Luke List 100% – We really think he’s going to win this week. He’s been coming close but his putter always fails him in in crunch time. We liked his price and he’s on the squad.

Xander Schauffele 100% – His price is quite low for a guy coming off a breakthrough season, who is jut making cut after cut, and could pop another big one at any time. Just good value so he’s on all our teams.

Chesson Hadley 100% – When you read his twitter, you know he’s confident. Even those two back to back missed cuts, he felt like he was playing those weeks too and then he bounced back nicely. He’s in a groove and looking for the big win. He was close last week and we think he’s a nice value to go all in on this week. He’s been 4th here before so we know he can tame this course.

Scott Piercy 100% – We wanted a cheap 100% option and we went with Piercy. His game has really started to pick up over the last few months after a cold spell. He’s played decent golf at this course in his history with 2/3 cuts made but when he’s on, he’s the type of player that can play well here. A cut maker with top 10 potential at a cheap price.

WAVE 2

Jhonny Vegas 50% – We needed another cheap option and even though he’s not playing like he did last year at this time, he’s still making lots of  cuts. He made the cut at the Masters and was 20th at a WGC recently too. Strong fields. So in this weaker one, we think his game fits what we’re looking for even though his record here is spotty.

Kevin Streelman 50% – He’s a streaky golfer and right now he seems to be on a good one. He’s making cuts on tour and making cuts at this golf course. We just hope this is the week he has his occasional pops. 

THE SINGLES

Bill Haas

Keegan Bradley

Chris Kirk

Zach Johnson

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