Daily Fantasy Golf Picks Strategy | PGA The Masters 2018 | Draftkings UPDATED ONE LAST TIME 8:13
Daily Fantasy Golf Picks Strategy | PGA The Masters 2018 | Draftkings
Hey Ho Everybody! It’s Masters time and even though we’re making picks below today, there is a high possibility that we’ll be changing these picks, especially if the weather will be cold. So make sure you come back everyday to check our changes. This should be a great week of golf and here’s the cut and paste of our preview.
We all know about Augusta National Golf Course. It’s a par 72, 7435 yards. A magnificent test of golf. It has some very long Par 4’s, and reachable Par 5’s. Especially on the back nine. The greens are fast and undulating. The edges of the green are shaved, so you better hope for a soft landing, or you’ll get to know the run offs pretty well. Short hitters have won here and so have the bombers. However, since the increase in yardage in 2010, only 300 yards hitters have won, and besides Matt Kuchar, Brandt Snedeker, and Ian Poulter, there aren’t many sub 290 hitters that show up in the top 10. In years past, specifically the years that Mike Weir and Zach Johnson won, the weather was frigid. Cold weather means shorter shots, which seem to help level the playing field. Also, we’ve done a lot of digging, especially looking at players like Bill Haas and Ryan Moore. Players who make a lot of cuts here. We went year by year and looked deeper into the stats. We came away feeling, that to make the cut here, you are better off being a very good GIR player over being a great putter. Yes, of course putting helps and wins you every tournament. However, at the Masters, you want to stay out of trouble as much as possible. This isn’t a regular golf tournament where you can scramble to victory. Jordan Spieth won here because he hit greens. Bubba Watson makes cuts here because he hits greens, then wins when his putter shows up.
We prefer longer hitters off the tee, because when it comes to ball flight on these long irons second shots, it’s much harder to hit and stick the quadrants of the green you want to be on. In my opinion, the short hitters have zero leeway, they must be perfect, whereas a guy like Bubba, can be off here or there, but he has eagle opportunities and easy birdie opportunities that the short guys don’t have. He can be flawed and still win. I don’t think players like Matt Kuchar, Brandt Snedeker, or Ian Poulter have that luxury. They can’t make up shots like that, they need to be perfect.
Now for the breakdown.
**** So we are going to go half contrarian here and hope that the weather is slightly chilly on a couple of the days giving some shorter hitters a better chance to hit the leaderboard. With only 86 players in the field, having a different lineup is tough. So we’re going to go against the grain and altering our squad a little. Saturday should be rainy and windy. So we think weather will play an interesting part this week. I think if you make the cut, anything can happen on the weekend with the forecast.
**** We have made our new squad based on our belief that weather will be a huge factor this week. We are avoiding players that play early on Thursday and Friday if we can. Saturday will be a windy rainy mess all day and Sunday should be chilly. We took a lot of chalk but we also took some low owned guys and we made sure we left money on the table to differentiate our teams.
Removed Kevin Chappell 0% – We took him last year as we felt his game suited the course and he didn’t disappoint with a 7th place. He’s only 6900 bucks and he’s playing very solid golf. He’ll be a popular choice down here but he’s making the squad.
Removed Daniel Berger 0% – He’s got a 27th and a 10th over this course and for 7500 bones, he’s making the team with ease. He’s a guy that can pop at any time and a very cheap option to pop into the top 6.
Increased Henrik Stenson 100% – This is the pick we think no one will have and we couldn’t resist his super cheap price. People will not take him based on his history of not being able to crack the top 14 with a slew of missed cuts. He’s played this course enough now to know how it work and we think he might actually pull out the driver this week. It’s a year of people bucking the norm and getting elusive wins, and we think the price is just right to risk taking Stenson. He’s coming in hot and if the weather happens to get a little chilly, this can only benefit him.
Removed Bubba Watson 0% – He’s back in top form and at a place he loves. He’ll be the highest owned guy this week.
Removed Jason Day 0% – We think Day is priced to be over owned and we’ll take it. He’s played 4 times in Calendar 2018 with a win and a 2nd. He’s got a solid Masters record too.
Increased Jordan Spieth 50%
Increased Matt Kuchar 100% – We may move this pick to someone else as he’ll be popular coming off a couple hot weeks in a row. But he has a proven record here with four top 8’s in eight attempts at Augusta.
Increased Adam Hadwin 75%
Added Adam Scott
Added Louis Oosthuizen
Added Alex Noren 50%
Added Sergio Garcia 75%
Added Tiger Woods
Added Tommy Fleetwood
Lowered Justin Rose 50%