Safeway

Daily Fantasy Golf Picks Strategy| PGA Safeway Open 2017 | Draftkings

This is one of the worst fields you’ll see all year and let’s thank the fall season for this wonderful monstrosity. We’re going to be very dfs fantasy golf chalky for the Safeway Open this week  and we don’t care. We’re not being very daring in any way this week and we aren’t playing much either. In fact, we kinda wanted a longer vacation. But the PGA had to have a fall season. The PGA is kinda like my last girlfriend. Let me miss you, but instead you just keep calling me….. all the time.

Now for the cut and paste of the preview.

Formally known as the Frys.com Open from a couple of years ago, we’re at the Safeway Open for the beginning of the fall PGA season. It will also be the rare appearance of Phil Mickelson who will play three fall season events this year. This is his home state and he’s feeling the groove right now.

It’s week 1, a clean slate of sorts for you DFS guys out there. It’s only the fourth time they’ve played at the Silverado Country Club in Napa, California.  Silverado is a beautiful, 7,166 yard, par 72. It’s short, tree lined, with strategic bunkers, big greens and a bit of water. So stay dry my friends.

We’ve only had three years of stats, so it’s a small sample size. The same stats may not hold true this year, but we’re throwing it out there anyway. We think you can be successful here without hitting fairways, but you just need to avoid the trouble. It just seems like most players are able to hit the greens at a very high rate from wherever they were. This then comes down to iron play, and knocking it close to the pin. Due to the length of the course, you were getting many players hitting from 125-150 yards, however, the biggest difference maker is play from 175-200 yards out. So we’ll be focusing on those guys this week. Short players can do well here. Length is not an issue this week. Also, these greens are Poa Annua and we will be looking for those that putt well on them.

So to summarize what we’re looking for. High GIR players from 175 yards plus, as 9 of the 18 shots to the greens will come from these distances, with 4 – 6 shots from 200 yards plus. The remaining shots to the green will be predominantly wedges, so try and find  players who can do both. Not an easy task. Also, we like players that can putt on Poa Annoa greens, so give them a bump. And last but not least, we’ll be looking for players with small sample sizes that skew towards a West Coast bias, in hopes to find a diamond in the rough. 

Cut and paste over.

Now for our breakdown and it’s very concentrated.

THE CORE

Graham Delaet 100% – His course history here isn’t the best but he’s a guy that can pop at anytime….just not win. At his price, with this field, we don’t care about injuries etc. he’s just great value. Top 65 in birdie or better percentage last year.

Luke List 100% – Was playing much better at the end of the year, after a poor stretch in between. He’s played okay on this course and he made most of his money in the fall season the year previous. Here’s a chance for a guy that was close to getting over the hump to have his day in the sun. He gets birdies.

Jamie Lovemark 100% – He’s a west coast kinda guy to us and we’re going to to take him this fall until he bleeds us dry of money. 41st in birdie or better percentage. He had a solid year and we think he breaks through this year with a win.

Keith Mitchell 100% – He withdrew last week but it had nothing to do with injury. he already qualified for the PGA and it was about time off. In his six weeks previous, he had 5 top 11’s. This guy is coming in hot and we’ll take the hot hand. In his one PGA stop last year, he finished 11th at the Valspar.  We’ll take our chances here.

Emiliano Grillo 75% – A former winner of this event and he’s playing much better. Yes, his play at the BMW was not good, but you can see that his game had been improving over the weeks previous. A nice spot for him to get his mojo back.

THE SINGLES

Ryan Moore

Webb Simpson

Keegan Bradley

Brendan Steele

Grayson Murray

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