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Daily Fantasy Golf Picks Strategy | PGA Genesis Open 2018 | Draftkings

Daily Fantasy Golf Picks Strategy | PGA Genesis Open 2018 | Draftkings

I think I’m just happy that Tiger Woods is playing. Maybe he’ll be in contention, maybe he won’t be, but I’ll just take any sign of progression this week and be thrilled. As long as he’s getting better going into the Masters for a nice peak performance. Is that too much to ask for? Knowing my luck…..yes. Here’s a cut and paste of the shitty preview.

It’s time for the PGA Genesis Open 2017 at the prestigious Riviera Golf & Country Club. The course is a par 71, 7,279 yards  with Poa Annua greens and Kikuyu Grass fairways. The course record for competitive play is 61, which is 10 under par, shot by Ted Tryba in 1999. The course record for the lowest nine holes was 28 (seven under par on the front nine), shot by Andrew Macgee in the 1991 L.A. Open.

When looking at the winning scores over the years, they range from  -7 all the way to -19. That’s a huge swing. For the most part, Par 5 scoring is a huge deal here, and for the winner, it usually comprises at least half their final score. Because the longest hitters can only hit the final two Par 5’s in two, that gives them a slight advantage, but length off the tee isn’t the be all and end all stat of this tournament.

Hitting the fairways are very difficult here due to their tightness, so with more shots being hit from the rough, we’re more inclined to look at Rough Proximity. Why Rough Proximity? Because the greens at this course are smaller than normal, so proximity to the hole matters more than greens in regulation. Since the greens are small, players will also be missing more greens too, so being a solid scrambler from 20 yards in is also a big stat in our opinion.

If you look at the length, rough proximity, and scrambling with 20 yards trio, you’ll see some  of the players that play well here can mix it up in all three categories, but many have the Rough Proximity/Scrambling combo. So besides these categories, take a look at history, form, and of course, players that can putt on Poa Annua greens.

Now onto the Breakdown.

THE CORE

Justin Thomas 100% – We like taking a guy that can win any big tournament at any time and at a discount to the other big names. So we’d take him all day at this price.

Kevin Chappell 100% – As we said in previous weeks, we’ll take Kevin Chappell all day if he’s under 8k. His record isn’t the best here but we consider him to be DJ-Light. So if DJ loves it here, we think his career here will end up looking similar. 

Patrick Cantlay 100% – He hasn’t made the cut at this event but the last time he played it was 2013. He’s a different player now and his price was just way too cheap. Extreme value for his upside.

Ollie Schniederjans 75% – He was 8th at this tournament last year and we have all the confidence in him to play with the big boys when it matters. He’s cheap and hits the top 10 board very often now. We’ll take that combo.

Brendan Steele 75% – Steele just does his thing these days. He’s a cut maker with upside pop potential and we’re at a place he just makes cuts at. If he doesn’t pop, so be it, but he seems like one of the safer bets to make the cut. 

THE SINGLES

Alex Noren

Marc Leishman

Rafa Cabrera Bello 

Adam Scott

Xander Schauffele

Thomas Pieters

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