Daily Fantasy Golf Picks Strategy | PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational 2018 | Draftkings UPDATED
Daily Fantasy Golf Picks Strategy | PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational 2018 | Draftkings
Who will be the highest owned player this week? Tiger Woods. Do we care that everyone will have him? Not in the least. We all want to see it happen more than we love our wives and kids. I think 10% of Tiger Fan Boys were jerking off to the leaderboard when he was on top last week. I expect that number to increase if he’s leading going into the last hole. Heck, I may even join in. Now onto the course.
The course at Bay Hill Golf & Lodge is a 7,419 yards, par 72 test of golf. In 2010, it underwent a redesign, and as well in 2016. They were having an issue with muddy spots and the green was replaced with a new type of bermuda grass a couple of years ago. It’s still bermuda, just a different subtype. From year to year, you’ll see that the average fairways hit are around the 65% mark, and the players in the Top 10, are for the most part, right on that number or better. The biggest anomaly was Tiger Woods, who won, and was ranked almost last in the field in fairways hit for the week, but he was Tiger Woods. When it comes to hitting the greens (GIR), 63% seems to be the average, and again, it’s rare to see a player below that average inside the Top 10. The rough here is grown thick, so players will club down off the tee to hit the fairways. This means driving distance isn’t the biggest deal this week. Also, these greens are small and firm, so being a very good proximity player will come in handy for making birdies, as well as being a solid scrambler/putter. Most of the scoring, if not all of the scoring, is done on the Par 5’s. The opening three holes on this course are arguably the toughest opening three holes in golf.
Now for the breakdown.
Tiger Woods 100% – He loves it here and he’s back. He’s cheap and he’ll be the highest owned guy.
Tommy Fleetwood 100% – He was 10th in his first try here and he’s playing top golf everywhere he goes. He’s a nice discount to the top players so he’ll be on the team. Can you say chalk?
Emiliano Grillo 100% – He likes this golf course with a 7th and 17th in his two tries and his game has picked up big time over the last few months. His price is super cheap and he’ll be major chalk.
Kevin Chappell 100% – We will always take him when he’s super cheap and he’s only 7300 this week. He’s humming along and making cuts with some pops. He’s also been 2nd here before and we think he’s capable of that pop again. We’re fan boys.
LOWERED Louis Oosthuizen 25% – We’re Louis fans and he’s playing decent golf recently which means top 30’s wherever he goes. He’s never missed a cut here in three tries and has a high of ninth. He’s a winner type so he’s on the squad.
Removeed – Kevin Na 50% – Besides last year, Na loves this place. He’s playing very good golf and has been quite consistent over the last two years now. Cut maker with high upside. Super cheap.
REMOVED Kevin Kisner 25% – Have a feeling this is the cheap missed cut waiting to happen and we’ll rethink this going into tomorrow. He’s been 2nd here before but his game is really lost right now it seems. This may change.
LOWERED Kiradech Aphibarnrat 25% – This could be an even bigger fake out than Kisner. Has been 6th here in both his tries and is playing very good golf recently. Are we being set up for the big chalk missed cut? On the team for now.
Added Lucas Glover
Added Francesco Molinari 50%
Added Zach Johnson 75%