Daily Fantasy Golf Draftkings Picks Strategy | PGA Desert Classic 2019 | UPDATED
Daily Fantasy Golf Draftkings Picks Strategy | PGA Desert Classic 2019
Besides picking Matt Kuchar on 100% of our teams last week, everything else stunk. We were just flat out terrible and have zero excuses. What’s sad is that we mentioned a bunch of players we liked on our podcast, but didn’t end up taking them (Putnam and Reavie to name a couple) and they played their asses off. This week, we liked a ton of guys in the sub 8000 level, so we made our decisions based on who we thought would be low owned down there. Also, it was hard to justify paying so much money for some other players in the 8000 plus range as well, so we stuck to a couple of big names and forgot about the rest of them. Now, here’s our regular shitty preview cut and paste for you all.
This tournament plays very easy. Scoring is always low. It’s just a giant shootout.
The Three courses are:
PGA West Stadium Course, Par 72, 7113 Yards – Final Round
PGA West Nicklaus Tournament Course ,Par 72, 7204 Yards – Played in 2 of the first 3 rounds.
La Quinta Course , Par 72, 7060 Yards
There is plenty of water all over this Stadium course. On the holes that don’t have water, you have well bunkered greens, and fairways. We’ll be focusing on ball strikers here. Players who keep the ball on fairways and greens. You can’t scramble from the water.
The Nicklaus Tournament Course is also considered a ball strikers course. It’s an interesting mixture of narrow and wide fairways. There are many risk/reward holes, where water is the risk in those spots. If you aren’t hitting your irons perfectly, you better bring your sand game. There’s beach everywhere. Like most Nicklaus courses, if you avoid the hazards, you can go really low.
The La Quinta course has narrower fairways than the Nicklaus course, but it’s also quite short. Hitting greens are the key here, as the greens, like the above courses are in perfect condition. So we’ll stay on the side of ball strikers here.
The biggest commonality amongst all three courses are the greens. They are so pure, that as long as you get it on the right line, your ball should find its way to the hole. So if you aren’t on the greens in two, then you can’t make birdies. This is why we’re inclined to really spot the ball strikers and approach shot player. We’ll also be very high on those with tip top birdie or better percentages.
Now for the breakdown.
Patrick Cantlay 100% – This a a pretty week field and we’ll take him at a discount to Rahm and Rose. He gets top 10’s in 1/3 of his starts and he’s only 26 years old. He makes tons of birdies and his approach game is flawless as well. We think he’s a perfect fit for this spot.
Phil Mickelson 100% – A former two time winner of this event and he also had a 3rd here in 2016. At 9500 bucks, and based on who surrounds him in salary, we think he’s a value play. When Phil plays a course that fits his liking, he can still perform, and here’s a course(s) he likes. His approach game and birdie percentage were all superb last year. He just needs to drive well. If he can do that, he can win.
INCREASED Joaquin Niemann 100% – He’s hit or miss, but when he’s hit, he’s fantastic. Last year, his approach game and birdie percentage were amazing. And at 20 years old, we think he has all the confidence in the world to keep that going. Had top 10’s in 1/3 of his 2018 starts.
LOWERED Ryan Palmer 25% – His approach game is solid and he makes tons of birdies. Yes, he’s missed 5 cuts here in his 13 tries, but he also has a 2nd, 4th, 6th, and a 10th. He had a solid fall season, and is known as a west coast player, so let’s hope it all carries over this year.
Brandon Harkins 50% – As far as cheap options go, Harkins was middle of the pack for us on approaches, but he still managed to make lots of birdies so he made our squad based on price. Also, he was 8th here last year, so we know he can score at these venues.
Anders Albertson 50% – He flashed a solid approach game in the fall and was top 65 in birdies as well. He’s coming off a very solid Web.Com season and at 25 years old, he’s got lots of upside in our opinion. We like him as a low owned option, especially when you’re guaranteed 3 days of play this week.
LOWERED Bud Cauley 25% – If his injuries are behind him, then we’ll be riding him all year. When healthy, he’s got a solid approach game and makes birdies. At this tourney, he has a 14th, 3rd, 14th, mc, 37th, and 30th in his history. That’s pretty solid playing. He’s been on tour for 7 years and he’s only 28 years old. We think he puts together career turning season and it will start at a spot he’s historically liked even when his game wasn’t in shape or injuries were taking their toll. A hunch pick and he’ll be low owned as well.
REMOVED Beau Hossler
ADDED Danny Willet 75%